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DTN Morning Cotton Commentary 05/09 07:43
Cotton Squares Up, Ahead of Weekend
The cotton market is slightly higher Friday as it recovers from slightly
oversold conditions, but also encouraged by this weekend's U.S./China trade
talks.
Keith Brown
DTN Contributing Cotton Analyst
The cotton market is slightly higher Friday as it recovers from slightly
oversold conditions, but also encouraged by this weekend's U.S./China trade
talks. The two sides are meeting in Switzerland and hopefully the initial
meaning will go well. Traders are also preparing for Friday's CFTC data as well
as Monday's WASDE update.
Friday afternoon, the CFTC will update its Commitment of Traders
information. For several weeks now, the once record short managed-money funds
have been paring their massive position. Last week, they stood at 26,000 plus
or minus contracts net short. That report is out at 3:30 p.m. EDT.
This Monday, USDA will issue its supply-demand update via the May WASDE.
Despite the fact that official 2025 acres have yet to be announced, the
tabulators will present both yield and crop amounts. That report is out at noon
EDT.
Also on Monday, USDA will update its crop progress numbers. Last week's
number showed the 2025 crop at 21% planted. The five-year average for that
previous date is 20% complete. The numbers are out at 4 p.m. EDT.
For Friday, close-in chart support for July cotton stands at 66.20 cents and
65.50 cents, with resistance at 67.75 cents and 69.10 cents. Friday morning's
estimated volume is about 6,987 contracts.
Keith Brown can be reached at commodityconsults@gmail.com or by calling
(229) 890-7780.
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